*Result*: The Geography of the Covid-19 Pandemic: A Data-Driven Approach to Exploring Geographical Driving Forces.

Title:
The Geography of the Covid-19 Pandemic: A Data-Driven Approach to Exploring Geographical Driving Forces.
Authors:
Hass FS; Department of Planning, Geography and Surveying, Aalborg University Copenhagen, A.C. Meyers Vænge 15, 2450 Copenhagen, Denmark., Jokar Arsanjani J; Department of Planning, Geography and Surveying, Aalborg University Copenhagen, A.C. Meyers Vænge 15, 2450 Copenhagen, Denmark.
Source:
International journal of environmental research and public health [Int J Environ Res Public Health] 2021 Mar 10; Vol. 18 (6). Date of Electronic Publication: 2021 Mar 10.
Publication Type:
Journal Article; Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't
Language:
English
Journal Info:
Publisher: MDPI Country of Publication: Switzerland NLM ID: 101238455 Publication Model: Electronic Cited Medium: Internet ISSN: 1660-4601 (Electronic) Linking ISSN: 16604601 NLM ISO Abbreviation: Int J Environ Res Public Health Subsets: MEDLINE
Imprint Name(s):
Original Publication: Basel : MDPI, c2004-
References:
PLoS One. 2017 Aug 10;12(8):e0180698. (PMID: 28797037)
Int J Infect Dis. 2020 Sep;98:328-333. (PMID: 32634584)
Sci Total Environ. 2020 Aug 25;732:139280. (PMID: 32402928)
Sci Total Environ. 2020 Aug 1;728:138811. (PMID: 32361118)
Sci Total Environ. 2020 Dec 20;749:142391. (PMID: 33370924)
Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2020 Jul 29;17(15):. (PMID: 32751311)
J Indian Inst Sci. 2020 Nov 16;:1-15. (PMID: 33223629)
Middle East J Anaesthesiol. 2004 Jun;17(5):819-32. (PMID: 15449742)
Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2020 Nov 27;17(23):. (PMID: 33261039)
Nature. 2006 Jul 27;442(7101):448-52. (PMID: 16642006)
Sci Total Environ. 2020 Aug 20;731:139052. (PMID: 32413655)
Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2011 Jul;8(7):2798-815. (PMID: 21845159)
Science. 2020 May 1;368(6490):493-497. (PMID: 32213647)
Chaos Solitons Fractals. 2020 Sep;138:110137. (PMID: 32834583)
Sci Total Environ. 2020 Aug 1;728:138884. (PMID: 32335404)
Chaos Solitons Fractals. 2020 Oct;139:110058. (PMID: 32834611)
Analyst. 2010 Feb;135(2):230-67. (PMID: 20098757)
Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2020 Jul 24;17(15):. (PMID: 32722294)
Sci Total Environ. 2021 Jan 10;751:141663. (PMID: 32866831)
PeerJ. 2020 Jun 3;8:e9322. (PMID: 32547889)
Grant Information:
90 European open science cloud
Contributed Indexing:
Keywords: Covid-19 pandemic; machine learning; public health; spatial autocorrelation; spatio-temporal analysis
Entry Date(s):
Date Created: 20210403 Date Completed: 20210408 Latest Revision: 20210408
Update Code:
20260130
PubMed Central ID:
PMC7998460
DOI:
10.3390/ijerph18062803
PMID:
33802001
Database:
MEDLINE

*Further Information*

*The Covid-19 pandemic emerged and evolved so quickly that societies were not able to respond quickly enough, mainly due to the nature of the Covid-19 virus' rate of spread and also the largely open societies that we live in. While we have been willingly moving towards open societies and reducing movement barriers, there is a need to be prepared for minimizing the openness of society on occasions such as large pandemics, which are low probability events with massive impacts. Certainly, similar to many phenomena, the Covid-19 pandemic has shown us its own geography presenting its emergence and evolving patterns as well as taking advantage of our geographical settings for escalating its spread. Hence, this study aims at presenting a data-driven approach for exploring the spatio-temporal patterns of the pandemic over a regional scale, i.e., Europe and a country scale, i.e., Denmark, and also what geographical variables potentially contribute to expediting its spread. We used official regional infection rates, points of interest, temperature and air pollution data for monitoring the pandemic's spread across Europe and also applied geospatial methods such as spatial autocorrelation and space-time autocorrelation to extract relevant indicators that could explain the dynamics of the pandemic. Furthermore, we applied statistical methods, e.g., ordinary least squares, geographically weighted regression, as well as machine learning methods, e.g., random forest for exploring the potential correlation between the chosen underlying factors and the pandemic spread. Our findings indicate that population density, amenities such as cafes and bars, and pollution levels are the most influential explanatory variables while pollution levels can be explicitly used to monitor lockdown measures and infection rates at country level. The choice of data and methods used in this study along with the achieved results and presented discussions can empower health authorities and decision makers with an interactive decision support tool, which can be useful for imposing geographically varying lockdowns and protectives measures using historical data.*