*Result*: Identification of Investment-Ready SMEs: A Machine Learning Framework to Enhance Equity Access and Economic Growth.
*Further Information*
*Small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) are critical contributors to economic growth, innovation, and employment. However, they often struggle in securing external financing. This financial gap mainly arises from perceived risks and information asymmetries creating barriers between SMEs and potential investors. To address this issue, our study proposes a machine learning (ML) framework for predicting the investment readiness (IR) of SMEs. All the models involved in this study are trained using data provided by the European Central Bank's Survey on Access to Finance of Enterprises (SAFE). We train, evaluate, and compare the predictive performance of nine (9) machine learning algorithms and various ensemble methods. The results provide evidence on the ability of ML algorithms in identifying investment-ready SMEs in a heavily imbalanced and noisy dataset. In particular, the Gradient Boosting algorithm achieves a balanced accuracy of 75.4% and the highest ROC AUC score at 0.815. Employing a relevant cost function economically enhances these results. The approach can offer specific inference to policymakers seeking to design targeted interventions and can provide investors with data-driven methods for identifying promising SMEs. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
Copyright of Forecasting is the property of MDPI and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites without the copyright holder's express written permission. Additionally, content may not be used with any artificial intelligence tools or machine learning technologies. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)*
*Full text is not displayed to guests* *Login for full access*